The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. 9 days ago. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Galen Druke speaks with the founders of the political research firm Equis Research, Stephanie Valencia and Carlos Odio. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. The crew discusses why the Kansas amendment that would have ended state constitutional rights to abortion failed by such a wide margin. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. apache saddles amarillo texas shockwave treatment for gallstones in the philippines price Edit your transcribed text. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. This is the second episode. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. June 2, 2016. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. 2,. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. Happy holidays! Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also take stock of how Americans are thinking about climate change and government initiatives to stem carbon emissions, after President Biden announced a goal of cutting U.S. emissions to half their 2005 levels by 2030. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. This is the final episode. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Transcripts by Erin Wade. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." It's a busy week! The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." They also check in on the upcoming Virginia governors race and discuss a FiveThirtyEight report about how Congress may have inadvertently legalized THC -- the main psychoactive compound in marijuana. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. r/fivethirtyeight. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Saturday, February 25, 2023. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Rev. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. 10 Wednesday AM Reads. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. MANAGER'S SALARY. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. They also ask whether it's too early to conclude that the leak of a draft Supreme Court opinion overturning Roe has had little impact on the political environment. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. They also look ahead to how the Department of Justice will navigate the complexities of deciding whether to bring charges against Trump and how a Republican majority in the House could respond. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. The State Of The Polls, 2016. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp Thanks! They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. I'm Galen Truk. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. File Upload. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. 3 min read. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. To mark a year since Russias full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. No place like 'Nam. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. Accuracy is not guaranteed. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. . Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors.